Six models. One goal.
Product Market Fit Framework: Which One Actually Works?
There is no single product market fit framework - there are six, each with a different lens, output, and ideal stage.
The Sean Ellis test gives you a PMFit score. The Superhuman method adds segmentation. The Dan Olsen Pyramid diagnoses why your score is low. Here is when to use each.
What is a product market fit framework?
A PMF framework is a structured model for answering one of three questions: do I have PMF?, why don't I have PMF?, or how do I achieve PMF?
The frameworks are not interchangeable. The Sean Ellis test tells you your PMFit score - the percentage of active users who would be very disappointed without your product. It answers "do I have PMF?" The Dan Olsen Pyramid is a diagnostic tool that answers "why don't I?" The Four Fits framework answers "why isn't growth working even though I do?"
Most startups only know the Sean Ellis test. The ones that move fastest use all six frameworks - at the right stage.
The six major PMF frameworks
Each framework was built to answer a different question. Use the right one for the right stage.
Sean Ellis Test
Sean Ellis - GrowthHackersCore question
“How would you feel if you could no longer use [Product]?”
Output
PMFit score (% very disappointed)
Threshold
40%+ = product market fit
Best for
Any stage with 40+ active users. The fastest way to get a quantitative PMF signal.
Superhuman Method
Rahul Vohra - SuperhumanCore question
“Core Ellis question + 3 follow-ups: who benefits most, main benefit, how to improve”
Output
PMFit score segmented by user cohort
Threshold
40%+ in your champion segment
Best for
Teams with 100+ responses who need to identify which segment to build for.
Dan Olsen's PMF Pyramid
Dan Olsen - The Lean Product PlaybookCore question
“Where in the 5-layer hierarchy does fit break down?”
Output
Diagnosis of which layer is misaligned
Threshold
All 5 layers aligned = PMF
Best for
Diagnosing why your PMFit score is low. Traces the problem to its root layer.
Brian Balfour's Four Fits
Brian Balfour - ReforgeCore question
“Are all four fits aligned - or is growth breaking down at a different layer?”
Output
Assessment of all four fits: product-market, product-channel, channel-model, model-market
Threshold
All four fits aligned = sustainable growth
Best for
Post-PMF teams whose growth is stalling despite strong user satisfaction.
Lean Build-Measure-Learn
Eric Ries - The Lean StartupCore question
“What is the riskiest assumption? Can we test it in the shortest possible build cycle?”
Output
Validated or invalidated hypotheses through iteration
Threshold
PMF is the goal of the BML loop - reached when a segment cannot live without the product
Best for
Pre-PMF teams with fewer than 40 active users who are still in discovery mode.
Jobs to Be Done
Clayton Christensen / Tony UlwickCore question
“What job is the customer hiring this product to do? How well does it do that job?”
Output
The job the product completes - and how well it completes it vs alternatives
Threshold
PMF = the product completes the job better than any alternative, for a real segment
Best for
Teams struggling to articulate their value proposition or finding the right ICP.
Which PMF framework to use at each stage
The right framework depends on your stage, your question, and how many active users you have.
0–40 active users
Lean BML + Jobs to Be Done
Too few responses for a meaningful PMFit score. Focus on customer discovery: validate your riskiest assumption, identify the job the product completes, and activate your first users to experience core value.
40–100 active users
Sean Ellis Test (PMFit score)
Run your first PMF survey. The 40% threshold is directional at this sample size but gives you a number to track and improve. Read every open-text follow-up from 'very disappointed' users - their language is your roadmap.
100+ active users
Superhuman Method (segmented PMFit score)
Add segmentation. Your blended PMFit score hides which segment has fit. The Superhuman method reveals your champion segment - the user cohort scoring above 40% - so you know who to build for exclusively.
Score below 25% and stuck
Dan Olsen's PMF Pyramid
Use the Pyramid to diagnose the root cause. Is the target customer wrong? Are the underserved needs misidentified? Is the value proposition not landing? Is the feature set not delivering the value? Is UX creating friction? The Pyramid traces the failure to its source.
Strong PMF, stalling growth
Brian Balfour's Four Fits
You have PMFit but growth isn't compounding. Check the other three fits: does your product spread through the channels you're using? Are those channels economically viable at your price point? Does your model fit the market size you're targeting?
The common thread
The PMF score connects every framework
Whatever framework you use to think about PMF, the PMF score - the percentage of active users who would be "very disappointed" without your product - is the most actionable number to track. It is the output of the Sean Ellis test, the input to Superhuman segmentation, and the diagnostic signal the Dan Olsen Pyramid explains.
Track your PMF score monthly. If it is rising, your iteration is working. If it is flat or falling, a different framework - the Pyramid or the Four Fits - can help you diagnose why.
Measure Your PMF ScoreFrequently asked questions
Measure your PMFit score with the Sean Ellis framework
The Sean Ellis test is the fastest PMF framework to implement. Free template, instant scoring, and segmentation built in.
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