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Companies that optimize based on attribution data see 40-60% CAC reduction

How to
Optimize Marketing Spend

Use attribution data to double down on winners, cut losers, and maximize ROI on every marketing dollar.

THE GOLDEN RULE

Optimize for Quality, Not Quantity

The channel that drives the most signups is rarely the one that drives the most revenue. Attribution data lets you segment by quality metrics—LTV, retention, activation—not just vanity metrics.

FitFlow's Wake-Up Call

Signups don't equal success

TikTok Influencer Ads
2,400
Signups (32% of total)
30-Day Churn:58%
Avg LTV:$24
CAC:$8.40
Net Value:$15.60 per user
Friend Referrals
800
Signups (27% of paid users)
30-Day Churn:12%
Avg LTV:$101
CAC:$0
Net Value:$101 per user

Result: They reallocated $180k from TikTok to a referral program, cutting CAC by 52% and increasing LTV by 2.4x.

The 5-Step Attribution Optimization Framework

1

Collect Baseline Attribution Data

Wait for 100-200 responses before making decisions

Don't optimize on 20 responses. Wait until you have statistically significant data across your major channels.

Minimum Sample Sizes:

Overall: 100-200 total responses
Per channel: 30+ responses to draw conclusions
Paid users: 50+ paying customer responses
Time period: 4-8 weeks of data collection

Warning: Optimizing on tiny sample sizes leads to false positives. If TikTok shows 3/5 users churned, but you only have 5 TikTok users, don't kill the channel yet.

2

Segment Channels by Quality Metrics

Look beyond signups—analyze LTV, churn, and activation

Connect attribution data to your user database. For each channel, calculate these 6 metrics:

💰

1. Average LTV by Channel

Lifetime value of users from each source

AVG(revenue) WHERE source = 'Friend Referral'
📉

2. Churn Rate by Channel

30-day or 90-day churn per acquisition source

COUNT(churned) / COUNT(total) WHERE source = 'TikTok'
🎯

3. Activation Rate by Channel

% who complete key activation event

COUNT(activated) / COUNT(signups) per channel
💳

4. Conversion to Paid %

% of signups that become paying customers

COUNT(paid) / COUNT(signups) WHERE source = 'YouTube'
📊

5. CAC (if paid channel)

Ad spend / conversions

Total ad spend / COUNT(signups from that ad)

6. Payback Period

Months to recoup CAC

CAC / (Monthly Revenue per User)

Example Segmentation Table:

ChannelSignupsAvg LTV30d ChurnCAC
Friend Referral800$10112%$0
YouTube Organic450$6724%$3
TikTok Influencers2,400$2458%$8.40
3

Categorize Channels into 4 Buckets

Sort channels by performance and take action

Based on your segmentation, place each channel into one of these 4 categories:

🏆

Champions

High LTV, Low CAC, Low Churn

What they are: Your best channels that drive high-quality, sticky users at low cost

Examples: Friend referrals, organic word-of-mouth, community-driven growth

Action Plan:

  • ✓ Double down on these immediately
  • ✓ Build systems to amplify (referral programs, affiliate deals)
  • ✓ Study what makes these users successful
🌱

Promising

Good LTV, Moderate CAC

What they are: Channels that work but need optimization to scale profitably

Examples: SEO/content with good engagement, niche communities, organic social

Action Plan:

  • ✓ Test incremental investment
  • ✓ Optimize messaging and targeting
  • ✓ Look for ways to reduce CAC
⚠️

Money Pits

High Signups, Low LTV, High Churn

What they are: Channels that drive lots of traffic but terrible retention and monetization

Examples: Viral social platforms (TikTok, Reddit), broad paid ads, clickbait content

Action Plan:

  • ✓ Cut spend by 50-80%
  • ✓ Test different targeting/messaging
  • ✓ If no improvement in 30 days, kill it
🔬

Experiments

New/Unknown Channels

What they are: Channels you're testing that don't have enough data yet

Examples: New ad platforms, emerging social networks, partnership tests

Action Plan:

  • ✓ Set small test budgets ($500-2k)
  • ✓ Run for 30-60 days minimum
  • ✓ Promote to Champion/Promising or kill
4

Reallocate Your Marketing Budget

Move money from Money Pits to Champions

This is where the magic happens. Take budget from underperforming channels and invest it in your winners.

FitFlow's Budget Reallocation:

BEFORE (Month 1)
TikTok Influencers$200k
Instagram Ads$80k
YouTube Creators$15k
Referral Program$5k
Total Monthly Spend$300k
AFTER (Month 3)
TikTok Influencers$20k (-90%)
Instagram Ads$40k (-50%)
YouTube Creators$105k (+600%)
Referral Program$135k (+2600%)
Total Monthly Spend$300k (same)

Impact of Reallocation:

  • ✓ CAC dropped from $8.40 to $4.03 (52% reduction)
  • ✓ LTV increased from $42 to $101 (2.4x increase)
  • ✓ 30-day churn dropped from 45% to 14% (68% reduction)
  • ✓ Same budget, dramatically better unit economics

Pro Tip: Don't kill channels overnight. Gradually shift budget over 2-3 months to avoid shocking your growth. Cut Money Pits by 50% first, then monitor for 30 days before cutting further.

5

Monitor and Iterate Monthly

Attribution is not set-it-and-forget-it

Channels change. What worked 6 months ago might not work today. Review your attribution data monthly and adjust.

Monthly Attribution Review Checklist:

Update your channel segmentation table with latest data
Look for channels moving from Promising → Champion or Champion → Money Pit
Review Experiments: Do they have enough data to promote/kill?
Check if Money Pits improved after cutting budget (give them 30-60 days)
Reallocate 10-20% of budget based on latest findings
Add 1-2 new Experiments to test emerging channels
🔄 Quarterly Deep Dives

Every quarter, do a comprehensive cohort analysis by channel to see long-term LTV trends.

📊 Attribution Dashboard

Build a live dashboard showing CAC, LTV, and churn by channel so you can spot issues immediately.

Marketing Optimization Playbook

Quick Action Scenarios:

📈 If a Champion channel is working:

Increase budget by 20-50% per month until you hit diminishing returns. Build systems to amplify it (referral programs, affiliate networks, etc.).

💰 If CAC is too high across all channels:

Your problem isn't attribution—it's product-market fit. Improve conversion and retention first before scaling any channel.

🚫 If a Money Pit isn't improving:

Kill it after 60 days of reduced spend. Don't fall for sunk cost fallacy. The $50k you already spent doesn't justify spending another $50k.

🌱 If a Promising channel plateaus:

Test different messaging, targeting, or landing pages. Sometimes a small tweak unlocks 2-3x improvement.

🎯 If word-of-mouth is your top channel:

Build a formal referral program with incentives. Even a simple "give $10, get $10" can increase referrals by 200-300%.

Your Attribution Journey

Ready to Optimize Your Marketing Spend?

Start with attribution surveys to discover which channels drive your best customers, then reallocate budget for maximum ROI.

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